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Minnesota wildfire risk

Minnesota sits in the lower half of US states for wildfire hazard, but lower does not mean none — hazard concentrates locally regardless of the statewide picture. This page covers current activity and how to check your own address.

active incidents in MN
acres currently involved
average containment
43.6average county hazard score
$220.4Bbuilding value exposed
87counties assessed

Active fires in Minnesota

Minnesota's recorded fire history

Federal perimeter records list 270 mapped wildfires in Minnesota since 2000. The largest on that record is the Mt Mint Fire of 2017, which burned 14,545 acres.

FireYearArea burned
Mt Mint Fire201714,545 acres
Palsburg Fire20154,456 acres
Rl 029 Fire20182,361 acres

Recorded history feeds directly into your address score: our model counts mapped burns within 25 miles of a parcel, weighted toward large ones. It is worth knowing the limitation, though — a long record of successful suppression can leave an area reading quiet while fuel accumulates, which is precisely the condition that produces the next large fire.

Where hazard concentrates in Minnesota

Wildfire hazard is not spread evenly across a state. These are the 5 counties in Minnesota with the highest wildfire risk scores in FEMA's National Risk Index, with the building value each has sitting in exposed areas.

CountyHazard scoreBuilding exposure
Roseau County91.0$2.1B
Marshall County85.1$540M
Polk County83.4$1.4B
Beltrami County82.5$3.7B
Pennington County82.3$969M

Roseau County carries the highest score in the state at 91.0. If your address is there, or in any of the counties above, the statewide average understates your situation considerably — which is the reason to check the parcel rather than the state.

How Minnesota ranks nationally

FEMA's National Risk Index scores every US county for expected annual wildfire loss. Across Minnesota's 87 assessed counties the average wildfire hazard score is 43.6, which places the state 29th of the 50 states. The most exposed county in Minnesota scores 91.0.

Against a 50-state average of 52.7, Minnesota sits 9.1 points below it. Rank 29 of 50. The National Risk Index blends how often wildfire is expected with how much is standing in the way, so a state can post a moderate score with severe local hazard wherever development has pushed into the wildland-urban interface.

Roughly $220.4B of building value sits inside Minnesota's wildfire-exposed areas. That figure is what drives carrier behaviour: insurers manage concentration of exposure, so a state can have modest average hazard and still see availability problems wherever that value clusters in the wildland-urban interface.

State averages hide almost everything Hazard varies enormously within a single county. Slope, aspect, surrounding fuel and road access can change the picture over a few hundred feet, which is why a state-level number is never the answer for your house. Score your actual address.

Minnesota wildfire season

Minnesota sees most wildfire activity during dry spells in spring and autumn, when cured vegetation and low humidity coincide. Activity is generally episodic rather than a sustained multi-month season.

Insurance in Minnesota

Minnesota operates a FAIR Plan or equivalent residual market. Average hazard across the state is moderate, so most homeowners remain in the standard admitted market — but that is a statewide average, and parcels in the wildland-urban interface can face declinations regardless of the state picture.

Residual-market availability and the rules governing it change. Confirm the current position with the Minnesota Department of Insurance before you rely on it.

Whatever the market looks like in your area, the sequence is the same: document mitigation before your renewal date, work with an independent broker who can access surplus lines, and ask directly whether the carrier credits wildfire mitigation. The full fire insurance guide covers non-renewal, FAIR Plans and difference-in-conditions wraps in detail.

Lowering your risk in Minnesota

The two changes with the best return anywhere in the country are clearing the first five feet around the structure to non-combustible material, and screening vents against ember entry. Both are cheap, both address the mechanism that destroys most homes, and both are visible to an underwriter if you photograph and invoice them. What qualifies and how to document it.

Data sources